Portrait of Casey Kelly

Casey Kelly PGiants

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2018 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
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Birth Date10-4-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lbs
Age28 years, 5 months, 18 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
2012 SDN MLB 6 6 29.0 2 3 0 39 10 26 5 .260 98 12.1 3.1 1.6 8.1 57% .366 .322 1.69 4.82 6.21 100 5.75 131.8 -0.2
2015 SDN MLB 3 2 11.3 0 2 0 19 3 7 1 .272 100 15.1 2.4 0.8 5.6 47% .409 .345 1.94 4.13 7.94 107 7.86 183.6 -0.4
2016 ATL MLB 10 1 21.7 0 3 0 30 7 7 1 .259 88 12.5 2.9 0.4 2.9 45% .341 .319 1.71 4.38 5.82 115 6.89 152.6 -0.5

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2009 GRN A 9 9 48.3 6 1 0 32 9 39 0 .266 95 6.0 1.7 0.0 7.3 54% .237 .181 0.85 2.39 1.12 90 3.31 95.3
2009 SLM A+ 8 8 46.7 1 4 0 33 7 35 4 .257 101 6.4 1.3 0.8 6.7 53% .221 .211 0.86 3.47 3.08 83 2.83 92.1
2010 PME AA 21 21 95.0 3 5 0 118 35 81 10 .260 109 11.2 3.3 0.9 7.7 47% .361 .293 1.61 4.19 5.31 95 4.17 100.6
2010 PEJ Wnt 4 4 16.0 1 0 0 19 4 11 2 .000 10.7 2.2 1.1 6.2 0% .283 .000 1.44 5.74 6.75 0 0.00 0.0
2011 SAN AA 27 27 142.3 11 6 0 153 46 105 8 .250 107 9.7 2.9 0.5 6.6 57% .324 .249 1.40 3.76 3.98 97 3.46 91.9
2012 SDN MLB 6 6 29.0 2 3 0 39 10 26 5 .260 98 12.1 3.1 1.6 8.1 57% .366 .322 1.69 4.82 6.21 100 5.75 131.8
2012 SAN AA 3 3 16.7 0 1 0 11 3 18 1 .269 93 5.9 1.6 0.5 9.7 45% .244 .219 0.84 2.61 3.78 76 2.08 80.5
2012 TUC AAA 2 2 12.0 0 0 0 12 0 14 0 .278 108 9.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 55% .364 .205 1.00 1.57 2.25 75 1.97 77.0
2012 PDR Rk 3 3 9.0 0 1 0 10 0 7 0 .276 107 10.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 45% .303 .285 1.11 3.11 4.00 92 3.20 92.5
2014 LEL A+ 2 2 8.3 0 0 0 14 0 9 0 .294 78 15.1 0.0 0.0 9.7 50% .500 .369 1.68 1.57 4.32 90 3.71 97.7
2014 SAN AA 2 2 12.0 1 0 0 11 1 8 0 .266 92 8.2 0.8 0.0 6.0 49% .297 .204 1.00 2.53 0.75 98 3.17 92.4
2015 SDN MLB 3 2 11.3 0 2 0 19 3 7 1 .272 100 15.1 2.4 0.8 5.6 47% .409 .345 1.94 4.13 7.94 107 7.86 183.6
2015 SAN AA 27 14 82.0 1 8 1 94 34 60 7 .259 106 10.3 3.7 0.8 6.6 51% .323 .290 1.56 4.26 4.94 110 5.25 111.2
2015 ELP AAA 4 3 15.7 1 2 0 20 5 14 0 .257 116 11.5 2.9 0.0 8.0 47% .408 .258 1.60 3.15 6.32 90 3.16 93.1
2016 ATL MLB 10 1 21.7 0 3 0 30 7 7 1 .259 88 12.5 2.9 0.4 2.9 45% .341 .319 1.71 4.38 5.82 115 6.89 152.6
2016 GWN AAA 15 12 74.0 3 6 0 64 28 47 6 .248 102 7.8 3.4 0.7 5.7 48% .266 .241 1.24 4.21 3.53 115 5.93 113.2
2017 IOW AAA 12 11 60.0 5 2 1 72 23 43 9 .263 101 10.8 3.5 1.4 6.5 49% .333 .288 1.58 5.58 4.65 101 6.32 121.8
2017 SAC AAA 7 7 41.0 2 3 0 43 15 39 7 .259 94 9.4 3.3 1.5 8.6 45% .313 .274 1.41 5.20 4.17 101 5.39 103.9

Plate Discipline

2012 501 0.4371 0.4311 0.7593 0.6164 0.2872 0.8593 0.5926 0.2407
2015 199 0.4774 0.4422 0.8523 0.6632 0.2404 0.9048 0.7200 0.1477
2016 364 0.4725 0.5110 0.8495 0.7093 0.3333 0.8934 0.7656 0.1505

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-21 2014-09-29 60-DL 192 162 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2013-04-01 -
2013-03-22 2013-09-30 60-DL 192 162 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2013-04-01 -
2013-03-08 2013-03-22 Camp 14 0 Right Elbow Sprain Ulnar Collateral Ligament - -
2012-04-12 2012-08-10 Minors 120 110 Right Elbow Inflammation - -
2010-08-07 2010-09-07 Minors 31 0 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2010-07-22 2010-07-31 Minors 9 0 Not Disclosed -


Year Team Salary
2017 CHN $
2016 ATL $
2015 SDN $
2014 SDN $501,400
2013 SDN $491,400
2012 SDN $
2 yrPrevious$992,800
2 yrTotal$992,800


Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 83 dISE Baseball1 year (2017)

  • 1 year (2017). Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 1/26/17. Released by Chicago Cubs 7/20/17. Signed by San Francisco as a free agent 7/29/17 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Atlanta 3/16. Sent outright to Triple-A by Atlanta 11/2/16.
  • 1 year (2015). Re-signed by San Diego 3/10/15. Acquired by Atlanta in trade from San Diego 12/10/15.
  • 1 year/$0.5014M (2014). Re-signed by San Diego 3/3/14.
  • 1 year/$0.4914M (2013). Re-signed by San Diego 3/9/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by San Diego 8/27/12.
  • Acquired by San Diego in trade from Boston 12/6/10 (Adrian Gonzalez deal).
  • Drafted by Boston 2008 (1-30) (Sarasota HS, Fla.). $3M signing bonus.

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10 vs L (Multi) .342 .396 .475 .322
11 vs R (Multi) .329 .383 .505 .327
18 Split (Multi) .013 .013 -.029 -.005
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .361 .410 .528 .350
31 vs R (2016) .304 .365 .464 .301
38 Split (2016) .058 .045 .063 .049
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Casey Kelly

BP Chats

2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Could you see either Cashner or Ross being dealt? Ian Kennedy is likely gone I imagine. Does Casey Kelly finally get a shot?
(Eric from LA)
It's possible, though with both under control beyond this year it isn't imperative. Kelly gets a shot assuming health and if one of those guys is dealt. (Mike Gianella)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)Hey Ben, who do have as some of your favorite "to keep an eye on" prospects for 2015?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
This is all over the place, but some guys who's values could fluctuate wildly from a fantasy POV for me are: Trey Ball, Chelsor Cuthbert, Casey Kelly, Tyler Austin, Tyrell Jenkins, Colin Moran, Kyle Crick, Matt Olson, Kyle Zimmer, Rymer Liriano, Gary Sanchez and Alen Hanson. All over the place, I know, but I feel like a lot of those guys are gonna go one of two ways. (Ben Carsley)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance we see Casey Kelly up in the majors next year? And does he still project as a mid rotation starter?
(mdotmorris22 from Minnesota)
He's still coming back from injuries, after struggling in his cup of coffee in 2012, so I don't think there's any rush. The Padres have sufficient SP depth for the moment that they can afford to let him earn his way back. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)I can't seem to get this question answered, but maybe you can help. What is the best source of info on MiLB player injuries? I am in a deep dynasty league and it would be really helpful to better understand the extent of some of these injuries. Specifically, I haven't seen anything substantive in a long time on Casey Kelly, Tom Murphy, Keury Mella, Jose Martinez or Harold Ramirez. I just know they're all hurt. Thanks!
(DF from Wilmington, NC)
I'm afraid I don't have a specific answer for you, other than pestering beat reporters. There are lot of guys who are interactive on twitter and are willing to find that info for you, though I know it might now always be the case. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-06-07 10:30:00 (link to chat)Will Boston let Trey Ball go two ways at first (similar to what they did with Casey Kelly)?
(Alex from Boston)
In my opinion, I think you let Ball go two ways this summer and through instructs to see what you have. There's no downside to that. He was inconsistent enough with the bat this spring, however, that I think most evaluators (even those that concede they really liked what he showed last summer) would run him out there as an arm. I think Trey will apply himself happily to either role. (Nick Faleris on the MLB Draft)
2013-02-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)Which of Casey Kelly, Joe Wieland, Robbie Erlin has the most value for 2013? Long-term? 12-team NL-only Scoresheet league.
(Mark68 from A Mile High)
Erlin is my guy there (Jason Collette)
2013-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Give us a 2013 Casey Kelly prediction.
(Paul from DC)
Paul, my prediction is that Kelly won't play shortstop this year. Something useful? I'll say 15-20 starts, ERA in the low-4s. (Geoff Young)
2013-03-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Last year, Casey Kelly sped up his delivery and moved to the 1B side of the rubber for reportedly purposes of "deception" & control. To me, they seem more like cosmetic changes. Are moves like this designed more for an adjustment in a pitcher's mindset, or to possibly alter a scouting report? Is there data that says location on the rubber alters the ability to hit certain spots or is this sort of thing merely determined on a case-by-case basis? Thanks.
(Bryant from Oceanside, CA)
I am a big proponent of increasing momentum to add kinetic energy and to achieve a deeper release point, and pitchers with a slower motion leave a larger window of opportunity for timing to fall off track. The set-up position on the rubber is also a significant factor, though it is pitcher-specific. I don't believe in strict rules governing where a pitcher sets up, but it is critical to adjust the starting position on the rubber so that the pitcher can find his ideal release point. I believe that release point efficiency and consistency is far more important than creating angle on hitters (ie favoring control instead of deception), and every pitcher has a unique signature that dictates his optimal set-up position.

On the jukebox: Thrice, "Unquestioned Answers" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any thoughts on what we might see out of Skaggs or Casey Kelly this year?
(Ratcatcher from Narnia)
I like Kelly more because of ballpark and lack of competition. He should start in AAA, but should make it up in early summer if he success in AAA. If Skaggs beats out Delgado for the 5th spot, I'd change my tune a bit on his short-term prospects, but I'm not sure. ARI has an embarrassment of arms with 7-9 ready or on the cusp, plus Daniel Hudson in the wings. That damages Skaggs' 2013 outlook a bit. (Paul Sporer)
2012-11-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper league question. I have the following pitchers: Casey Kelly $2, Iwakuma $3, Straily $3, W Peralta $2, Skaggs $1, Erlin $1, Delgado $1. I can keep 2, maybe 3 at their contract price for 2 or 3 years. Suggestions?
(SJLedet from Alexandria)
You've got a lot of solid options there. Tough call. I definitely keep Straily, then I probably go with Skaggs and one of Peralta/Kelly/Iwakuma (let's say Iwakuma unless you're looking for a bigger risk). If you only keep them for two years, it's less about upside and more about making sure you're taking someone who will help in 2013. (Derek Carty)
2012-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's Casey Kelly's ceiling?
(stewbies from Rochester, NY)
Solid #3 starter (Jason Parks)
2012-10-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)With all the breakout seasons from several rookies this year, what rookies do you see potential big seasons from next year?
(Rockford from Treeline)
You mentioned Shelby Miller and Wily Peralta earlier. Among pitchers, I think we'll see a much better showing from Tyler Skaggs and Casey Kelly in the National League, and I'm certainly looking forward to seeing Dylan Bundy in the AL. At the plate, I'll go with Jurickson Profar, Wil Myers, and perhaps toward the end of the year, a cameo from Billy Hamilton. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-08-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)What's your opinion on Casey Kelly? What's his ceiling? Looked impressive in his debut.
(Jerry from California)
Is anyone still with me? Sorry about that, folks--I restarted all my electronic devices, and things are still extremely slow. For now, I'm able to cruise the World Wide Web again, albeit in the way that I did when I exchanged my 28.8k modem for a 33.6k. (That was a wonderful day.)

Kelly did look good, as Geoff Young wrote today. wrote today. Probably not a top-of-the-rotation guy, but in Petco, with that kind of control? Yeah, he's going to be good.

While I have semi-working internet again, here's Sam's article on the Orioles. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Have you heard of any progress from Casey Kelly on his rehab? Assuming no major setbacks, does he make the starting rotation out of ST next year?
(captnamerca from Dunedin, FL)
I haven't heard anything about Casey Kelly. I wouldn't anticipate him making the opening day rotation, either. Though a lot can happen between now and then. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Just wondering about Martin Perez and where you think his ceiling might be given the contrast between his tools and that the numbers never seem to back them up. Seems to be turning into Casey Kelly.
(Eric from Minneapolis, MN)
Well, he just turned 21 and is at least holding his own at AAA. I still trust the scouting reports more than the numbers in his case. With his stuff, his ceiling is still sky-high. (Ken Funck)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Casey Kelly in that Aaron Hicks category? Looks great, but the performance doesn't seem to be there. Is there still #2 upside with him or is he more of a innings guy in your opinion?
(BrowningNagle from Louisville, KY)
Yes. He's the starter on the "Why Isn't This Guy Better?" team. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'd also been overconfidently thinking this morning of Greinke-to-Boston possibilities. What sort of package might get that done? The Royals seem a bit weak up the middle, so Ellsbury-Lowrie seems an easy starting point, but now-Padre Casey Kelly seemed the Sox' obvious "pitcher who could be Greinke in a year or two." And at what point does speculating about that just become unfair Yankee-needling?
(Brendan from Boston)
To get Greinke, I think you have to accept that Buchholz is in Royals/Red Sox deal. Ellsbury and Lowrie are nice, but hardly blue-chip talents; they're the add-ons. However, I don't think the Sox can make this deal--or any deal including Ellsbury--until March, when they and their dance partner know more about both Ellsbury and Cameron and how well they're coming back from injury. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would it be feasible to groom Casey Kelly as a SP and defensive specialist at SS? Have I been thinking entirely too much about baseball this cold winter?
(EricJ from SF)
I bugged Kevin with exactly that kind of question a couple of years ago, and got reality-checked for my trouble. I'd put it in that bulging "ain't gonna happen" file. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)You support this move for the Sox? Why not let it ride and have a choice of Agonz, Fielder or Pujols after 2011 with no NYY in the mix. I don't know how much money sox save on Gonzalez with the rumored numbers being mentioned.
(SK from DC)
Absolutely. First off, Fielder isn't that great. Terrible defensive first baseman, and really, do we know if he's a pretty good hitter or a great hitter yet? He never seems to be the same thing two years in a row, and he needs to be excellent all the time to make up for that glove. I don't think Pujols is leaving St. Louis--other teams would be in the mix solely to make sure the Cards pay up.

The Cubs love Adrian Gonzalez, and have the money to throw at him in 2012 if he was available. Eight teams inquired about him in a trade, so there is interest there. Anthony Rizzo has no future in the organization if the Sox are acquiring a first baseman anyways, so this is basically trading Casey Kelly and Reymond Fuentes for the rights to Gonzalez in 2011, as well as the right to negotiate with him during the season. I'm very optimistic he'll be signed well before the season is over.

If Boston gets Gonzalez for $22M a year, then this is a steal. Just assume $5M per win for a minute, Gonzalez is something like a $25-30M win player a year. Getting him for less money than Ryan Howard is silly, but I'll take it. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)So you Red Sox joy counterbalances your Padres' sadness on the Gonzalez deal?
(formersd from San Diego)
There really isn't any Padres' sadness, honestly. Here is my thinking.

As great as Adrian Gonzalez is--and he's one of the top players in the game--he is one guy. The Padres had reason to believe the 2011 team could be a bit better, with an improved rotation, a full season of (healthy) Ryan Ludwick, Cameron Maybin possibly blossoming in center with another year in the majors, Kyle Blanks coming back from his TJ surgery, etc. If they acquire Brendan Ryan in a trade to man shortstop as is expected, and then sign someone like Derrek Lee to play first base, then you're talking about a team that could still win something like 82-85 games. Then, in 2012, you have Casey Kelly, Anthony Rizzo, Simon Castro and maybe Drew Cumberland coming up if he continues to tear up the minors. That is an exciting roster all of a sudden, and it was brought about without fielding a terrible team.

The Padres can trade Bell and Ludwick in July and still have a decent team, assuming Aaron Cunningham or Kyle Blanks can slot into Ludwick's place and they bump Mike Adams up to the role of closer. The gloom and doom mentality coming out of San Diego after the trade of Adrian Gonzalez is almost enough to make me start a Padres' blog in response. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)How intent, if at all , is BOS in moving Dice-K? He might make a nice pickup forCubs in a swap of so-so contracts.
(Matt from Chicago)
I don't think they are desperate to move him or anything, but he does represent the only rotation spot they can mess with until 2014, so if the right opportunity presents itself they may do it. They may be a little more loathe to do so now that Casey Kelly is gone, as Felix Doubront is the lone high-minors pitching prospect they have left, but they are definitely listening if people ask. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)How much has the stock dropped for Casey Kelly. What do you see his upside as?
(Mike from Utica,NY)
I'm not sure it's dropped ALL that much. I talked to a scout about him yesterday. He said all the stuff from last year is there, but he's throwing way too many strikes and leaving a lot of balls right in hitter's wheelhouse. He wanted to see Kelly get more aggressive and find a mean streak, but he had no issues with the stuff. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-03-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)KG, how about some lightning round? Quicker to the majors: Westmoreland or Casey Kelly?
(Bud Light Golden Wheat from Has a robust flavor, but so does sewage)
Kelly, just less of a ceiling. I've already gone more than four hours, but I have some time, so keep 'em coming. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-12-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mark, Using the Santana Trade as a template: Is a trade of Boston players: Casey Kelly (5 star prospect), Jed Lowrie (MLB Utility INF possible SS/2B), plus a B/B- level prospect like a Gibson (SS)[Navarro (INF) or Lin (OF)] for Doc Halladay work? Remember, Santana netted the Twins Carlos Gomez, great defense with a progressing bat, and the Mulvey/Humber/Guerra trio. Not a very impressive bevy of pitchers. In short, Minnosota received 1 really good player plus some filler in the trade - due to Santana's trade demands, his potential extention price tag and having only 1 year left on the existing contract. The Blue Jays can't possibly get much more than the Twins received in their Trade?
(Steven from New England)
I think Minnesota's deal would actually be a reason to expect the Jays to get more, as they will hold out as long as they can until someone is desperate enough to cave in to their demands. I'm not sure how accurate the reports are, but I kept hearing that the Sox would have to give up both Kelley and Clay Buchholz to make this work. I'm not sure how I feel about that, as much as I love Halladay. (Marc Normandin)
2009-10-09 13:30:00 (link to chat)Where would you rank Casey Kelly in terms of pitching prospects? Is he more front end/ace rotation stuff, or 2-3 type?
(Adam from Norfolk, VA)
I'd rank him pretty damn high, but I do think his ceiling is 2-3. That's not an insult AT ALL. 1s are crazy rare -- even 2s and 3s are. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does Casey Kelly have to do to get another shot at playing shortstop?
(Nick Smith from Allston, MA)
Well, he kinda sorta has that shot now, doesn't he? Baseball can be unpredictable, so assuming that his future is sure-fire as a pitcher based on, essentially half a season, is...iffy. Kelly has clearly been superb on the mound this season, and will presumably leap near the top of KG's Red Sox top 11 next spring, but it's early. Very early. (David Laurila)
2009-07-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Lars still the Red Sox best prospect or has Casey Kelly passed him?
(Jack from Boston)
I'd take Kelly over Anderson pretty easily. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Has Casey Kelly moved into your personal top 10 pitching prospects?
(Jeremy from Boston)
TEN? Probably a bit strong for me. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-03-19 15:00:00 (link to chat)Is there anyone in the Boston system that you're particularly excited to see debut this year?
(Rob from Brighton)
Tons of guys. The '08 draft is full of guys like Westmoreland and Hissey, not to mention (while he has already played some), 1st round pick Casey Kelly getting some time at shortstop and starting pitcher. (Kevin Goldstein)

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